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Notes, Observations, and Comments

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Most of the more recent entries are near the top beginning immediately after the "Web site Updates" information. 
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Web site Updates 

Market Status, Alerts, Price Surges, Stock Scanner, Momentum Scan, and Strongest ETFs are updated daily.  When we have finished processing the day's closing data, we post the results (usually the same afternoon) with a statement that the data has been updated for the morning of the next market day (The sign says "Updated For Next Market Opening After Date Shown in Table").  For example, if it is after the close of market on Friday and the date posted at the top of the first table is Friday's date, then the update does reflect market action for Friday, and it has been updated in preparation for the market's opening on Monday.  However, if the date is Thursday's date, it has not yet been updated in preparation for Monday.  It still reflects the market action as of the close of market on Thursday.  Tuesday is different from other days of the week in that it presents unavoidable timing problems for us.  Tuesday's data sometimes does not make it to the site until sometime between 5:00 a.m. and 6:30 a.m. on Wednesday morning (the market opens at 6:30 a.m. our time).  Our update schedule remains unchanged on "half-days" because we cannot obtain market data any sooner when the market closes earlier than the normal closing time.  Unavoidable delays may occur on any day.  If we have not completed the update before the market opens the following day, check "Comments" below to see if we have posted a message.  If there is no message, it probably means the delay is not the result of anything critical (such as a system failure), but that there have been only minor delays and that the information will soon be posted.  

If we ever miss updating our pages daily as described above, it must be because there are temporary technical problems that hinder our publishing.  In that case, we may not be able to communicate with you to let you know when to expect us to be on schedule again.  Please keep checking back, and be patient.  We are in good shape financially, and have absolutely no plans to discontinue operations.     

Comments:    None. 

 

Stock Scanner 

The Stock scanner was modified on 6/24/10.  It now scans for 6 moving average crossovers representing a broad array of sensitivities.  The moving averages range from an extremely sensitive 3-day moving average cross of a 10-day moving average to a 5-day moving average cross of a 150-day moving average.  In order to generate an alert, the crossover must be associated with a volume surge.  The scanner conducts a broad spectrum sweep over thousands of stocks looking for the first signs of "life" or unusual stock movement in either direction.  Scan reports are generated daily for subscribers.  See the Stock Scanner page for details and a sample scan report.

 

The Valuator

The price of a subscription has just benn reduced temporarily from $135 to $85.  An explanation for this fee reduction can be seen by clicking on the link at the end of this paragraph.  If we have to raise rates again, we will not ask current subscribers to pay more money, and we will not shorten the time remaining on their subscriptions.  However, when their current subscription expires and they renew, they will be asked to pay the rates current at the time of renewal.  Even in 1993 a subscription was priced at $176 per year (paper version).  If that price were adjusted for inflation, the publication would  be much more expensive now.  It is one of our most popular subscriptions.  It has been one of our most important resources, if not the most important resource, for investment ideas ever since.  It will probably continue to be so as long as we are investing.  We believe that the Internet version would be more reasonably priced at least at $165.  It is very labor intensive to produce, requiring much more time than than any other publication.  Unlike the stuff available elsewhere on the Internet, it does not consist of the comparatively anemic cookie cutter downloads from data vendors.  Each stock has its own custom-designed valuation model.  Its measurements are simply not available anywhere else on the Internet.  See the videos.  Click here for details and an explanation of the reduced rate.

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"Do you want to view only the webpage content that was delivered securely?"

If you are using Internet Explorer 8 and you view a page that includes HTTP based resources such as images, on a secure HTTPS page, Internet Explorer will interrupt the download and display a confirmation dialog.  Most such warning dialogs require the viewer to click "yes" to proceed.  However, in order to see the page and the charts, this dialog requires that you select "no."  The warning is similar to the following image.

An IE user can disable this warning by:

1. Going  to Tools->Internet Options

2. Select the ‘Security’ tab

3. Under "Select a zone to view or change security settings" select "Internet."

4. Click the ‘Custom Level’ button, and

5. In the ‘Miscellaneous’ section change “Display mixed content” to "Enable."

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Stops

Stops is now compatible with all popular versions of Microsoft's Excel (Excel 97 through Excel 2007).  It enables a person to obtain volatility-adjusted stop loss settings without having to know statistics.

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StockAlerts

We added five key points regarding Bollinger Band squeeze alerts on the "Stock Alerts" page.

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ETFs

We now include the closing price for all EFs that make it into the top 50 for "strength."  Again, this is our own strength algorithm.  It is far more complex and sophisticated than the RSI.  In a good market nearly everything looks good.  At those times you may not see much difference in the stocks ranked highly by each approach.  However, even then the RSI will produce some stocks you would not want to "touch with a ten foot pole."  In poor markets, most of the "strength" stocks our algorithm finds will look far better than much of the stuff turned up by the RSI--especially if the scans are applied to thousands of stocks. 

 

Videos

We have added a second video to the Stock Alerts video page (renamed "Stock Alert Videos" page).  It provides more information on the requirements of a good setup. Our momentum scans now include 12-day and 25-day momentum and the 10-day average volume momentum.  The 50 stocks with the greatest 25-day momentum are ranked and listed along with their 12-day momentum and 10-day average volume momentum.
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If You Find a Link That Doesn't Work...

Please do not leave this site without reporting any link that is not functioning correctly.  There are too many pages on this site for us to immediately know when there is a problem.  If you let us know, we can fix it.  For example, we discovered that a few links in the tutorial section were not working.  We have no idea how long they were not operable, but it took us only a few minutes to fix them.  When we visit other sites, we are turned off by functions and links that do not work.  For example, if we try to send an e-mail, it comes back undelivered because the automated address is incorrect.  If we try to find a way to contact them about it, the "Contact Us" page is off-line or non-existent.  If we click on a link, it doesn't work.  It makes us wonder if the owners of the site are alive or if they care at all about their site.  We do care about our site.  You can help us keep quality high by taking the time to let us know immediately when there is a problem.  Please!
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The Clock 

We have added a "clock" in the "Market review" section that reports the time at our location in California.  The clock helps provide a little orientation for people in Europe, Asia, and in other time zones regarding the timing of our Web site updates as explained in "Q&A" #13.  If visitors know the difference in time between their locations and our location, they can even use the clock to set their watches.  Our use of US Naval Observatory Master Clock time assures us of the accuracy of the time reported.  

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Talk To Us 

Why not send us an e-mail with some feedback on the Web site?  We won't use your e-mail address to send you any ads nor will we sell it to anyone else.  It would just be nice to know what you think.  Unless you tell us not to, we will probably respond.  Tell us what sections of the site are most useful to you and why.

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Attention Subscribers

Reminder: The "Strength" measurement used in The Valuator is far more powerful than the RSI.  It measures recent stock strength and gives greater weighting to stocks that show more strength consistency.  It screens out much of the "junk" that the RSI lets through.  Our proprietary algorithm makes at least 4 separate weighted measurements and composite scores are created for each stock.  The composite scores are then ranked relative to each other.  Traders (and investors) should try to buy stocks early in the development of a strong positive trend.  Even when investing in these stocks, investors should wait for a pullback (they should try to time their entry to coincide with when the stock has pulled back to its rising trendline or to a significant moving average). To reduce their risk exposure, many traders wait for the stock to respond to (or "bounce" off) the support expected at the trendline or moving average before they buy

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Recent Changes      

On the "Market Review" page we have added an R.C. Allen system "perspective" of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.  The idea here is to get some idea about whether the R.C. Allen system would buy, sell, or hold "the market" in its current condition.  We have also added "quick impression" charts of each of the stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.  Six indicator charts are also provided with an explanation of each.

On the "Market Review" page we have also added a list of companies expected to issue earnings reports on the following day, and a list of up to 100 stocks that have surged in price and volume during the day.

In the "Price Surge" section, "surge" information for downside movement has been added to the scan.  We now post the 50 stocks with the most negative change in addition to the 50 stocks with the most positive change.  Price surges can now quickly be spotted for both directions along with any corresponding volume surges. 

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Content

The "Setup Watch List," the "Forum," and "Wendy's Place" (and the one-on-one telephone tutorials offered there) have all been taken "off-line" for now.  We anticipate bringing them back after we complete some other projects.  Meanwhile, we will continue with our daily updates to Market Review, Alerts, Stock Scanner, Momentum Scan, Strongest ETFs, Price Surges, and Notes (this page).  

   

The General Tiger Model (trading trainees) and the ETF Tiger Model 

Please be patient.  The reason these programs have not yet been described or made available on this site is because we are not taking any new subscribers at this time.  We will post an announcement on this site when we are ready to take on new enrollees.       

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Everything Is Free!
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People have developed the notion that they can get almost anything free of charge somewhere on the Internet.  A common notion is that what one site charges a fee for, another site will offer free.  However, this is true only of the more superficial and "commoditized" information.  Who would be so foolish as to base a business model on products or services that are available elsewhere for free?  We certainly wouldn't.  That would be like trying to sell widgets at the shopping mall even though free widgets were being given away in various shops at the Mall just for walking in.  Many people invest in the market using only the resources available everywhere on the Internet because they do not want to spend the price of a day at Disneyland to obtain the tools necessary to do the job right.  Some spend far more on entertainment or on a sporting event than they will spend to do a good job investing hundreds of thousands of dollars.  For example, a day at Disneyland will probably cost well over $300, and it will get you nothing in return other than some temporary fun.  On the other hand, the annual fee for our stop loss tool is only $75.  Yet, it can help prevent the loss of many thousands of dollars (enough to pay for more trips to Disneyland than almost anyone would want).  Think about it.  It makes no sense.  Whenever a person makes a trade, there is someone or something (a computer) on the other side of that trade.  When you buy a stock, the transaction is possible because someone else is anxious to get rid of the stock that you want to buy.  The other person is betting that your decision to buy is based on faulty or inadequate information.  Too often people underestimate the intelligence or knowledge of the person on the other side of the trade.  The individual with the better information and more capable discipline will tend to be the one who is on the right side of the transaction most of the time.  Sometimes, being cheap is costly. 

 

The "Alerts" Page
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We do not post more than ten "Up" alerts and ten "Dn" alerts (assuming ten or more alerts have been generated).  Ten is the maximum, and on some days fewer may be posted.  The alerts that we post may or may not include any that also have an attractive chart pattern.  The lists are sorted according to price (with the most expensive at the top) and then a few from the top of the list are selected for posting.  The particular stocks selected for posting are not selected on the basis of their relative merit.  You should be able to find some good ideas in these lists at times.  However, we think many people believe that the alerts we have been posting free on the "Alerts" page are just as good as the ones we make available through our StockAlerts subscription.  Though the free alerts may lead you to some good trades, we do not think they are of the same quality as the alerts in our subscription.  Why would anybody give away something equal to the best they have to offer and then try to make their living by charging a fee for something that is not any better?  That would be self-destructive.  If a given alert system generates 50 alerts, there may be only 3 or 4 out of the 50 that have an attractive setup pattern.  A better list might have several times as many candidates that can result in a good trade because the alert is generated after a better or more complete "setup."  This is important.  A stock that has generated an alert may still have to overcome significant resistance that is just above the current price before it can go any higher.  That means the setup will not be attractive until that resistance is overcome.  An alert is not a buy signal.  A stock that has generated an alert must be visually inspected to see if there are any reasons to avoid the stock.  The alert merely draws attention to the fact that certain conditions have been met that very often precede a surge in price.  The visual inspection will help determine if there are other negative conditions or mitigating factors.     
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Price Changes & Something New 

Our experimental subscriptions to individual metrics from The Valuator and the individual alerts from StockAlerts have been discontinued.  They represented too much cost in time and resources to produce for the fee charged.  Also, most people who were interested in getting alerts wanted all of them.  All existing subscriptions to services that are being discontinued will be honored and serviced until they expire.

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Strategy Tips 

There is a new "Strategy Tip" at the bottom of the Home page. 

 

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Links To Other Places On This Web Site   

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Copyright 2010 by Stock Disciplines, LLC
No part of this publication may be reproduced or distributed in any form by any means.
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"But thou shalt remember the Lord thy God: for it is he that giveth thee power to get wealth."  Deut. 8:18
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Trading and/or investing in the securities markets involves risk of loss. This Web site NEVER recommends that ANY individual buy or sell ANY securities.  It does not give individual investment advice, and nothing herein should be interpreted as if it does. Readers of this site's content should seek advice from a licensed professional regarding their personal investments. Stock Disciplines, LLC will not be responsible for any loss that results from using information provided on this Web site.

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