ATR Stops calculates stop losses based on the Average True Range (ATR) of a stock. These are volatility-based stop losses. It will also compute and display daily True Range measurements. It doesn't require any advanced math on the part of the user. You only have to enter the stock's date and price data and the numbers 1, 2, or 3, to tell ATR Stops how to compute a stop loss. Stop losses can be computed relative to the high, low, or closing price.
The "True Range" tends to reflect the commitment or enthusiasm of traders. For example, if traders are willing to keep bidding up or selling down a stock throughout the day, then ranges will tend to be large or increasing. Conversely, if there is a lack of interest, ranges will tend to be small or decreasing.
Note the layout of rows 4 and 5 for columns A through I. Cell D-4 is where a person can enter a "Multiplier." For example, if a person wants computations to be based on twice the Computed True Range, he or she would enter 2 in cell D-4. It is also possible to enter decimals. For example, if a person wants calculations to be based on 1.25 times the computed True Range, he or she would simply enter 1.25 in cell D-4.
ATR Stops incorporates tremendous flexibility in its design. For example, a person who is "long" a stock would enter the number "1" in cell D5, or he would enter a "2" if he is short the stock. If the user enters "2," then the program would add the ATR to the lowest high, low, or close reached by the stock since its purchase.
For example, if person wants to instruct the program to subtract the ATR from the highest high reached by the stock since its purchase, he can do so by entering the number "3" in cell B-5 (second column, fifth row). To subtract the ATR from the highest low reached by the stock since its purchase, he would enter "1" in B-5, and so on. ("1" means low, "2" means close, and "3" means high). Column "L" rows 10, 11, and 12 lists these options as a reminder to the user.
If the user does not want to see the red-letter alerts "Sell Alert!" and so on that appear in column H, he can enter the number "3" in cell D-5 to turn that function off. The stop losses will still be generated but the red notices will not appear.
Column I shows the stop loss setting. If a person is long, the stop loss will trail the stock up as the stock climbs. If a computation is equal to or less than the previous calculation, the corresponding cell will be balnk. New stop loss settings will appear only if they are higher than the previous stop loss setting. This makes the output less confusing than if every computation were displayed. The latest stop loss showing will be the highest stop loss since the first date of data. The same thing is true for short positions, but in reverse. That is, if you are short a position, the result of the latest calculation will show only if it is lower than the lowest stop loss before that calculation.
Sometimes a person will want to see the actual True Range calculations. To do this, he would enter the number "1" in cell D-4 and the number "1" in cell F-5. The entry "1" tells the program to display the True Range. The number 1 is entered for the "Multiplier" so that the program will display the basic True Range. If you want to see 1.5 times the True Range, you would enter 1.5 in cell D-4. If you delete the entry in cell F-5, the data displayed in column "G" will vanish.
All computed stop losses are not shown as the stock rises or declines, unless the stop loss calculated is different from the previous one. For example, if the stop loss has not risen for 5 days, the last stop loss showing will be the one computed 6 days ago. That way, you don't have to search through all the computed stop losses to find the highest one. It will be the last one showing. Every time a higher stop loss is calculated, it will be displayed. The old stop loss will still show, but the last one showing will always be the latest and highest (or latest and lowest if calculations are for a short position) .
ATR Stops employs thousands of equations to make calculations whenever data is changed, and many of these are dependent on the output of other equations. All equations are recalculated even if a change modifies the output of only one equation. However, instead of making the user wait for calculations to finish every time data is entered or changed in a cell, ATR Stops will not recalculate until the user presses the f-9 key. Then, all calculations will be completed at the same time. To save time and to work more efficiently, we recommend that users make all entries and changes for all stocks before pressing the f-9 key. Some computers require the user to press the "fn" key while pressing the f-9 key.
Note: NEVER delete or enter anything in any of the cells in rows 1 through 6 unless the cells are goldenrod in color. Cells that are not white or goldenrod in color have hidden formulas that would be damaged if they were deleted or something is pasted over them and saved. The functionality of those cells would be destroyed. To be safe, assume that any cell that is not white or goldenrod in color has a hidden formula (the first image below shows part of an earlier version of ATR Stops (without goldenrod-colored cells). The image below that shows goldenrod-colored cells.).
This is the top left portion of ATR Stops. ATR Stops will not function until you do four things.
2. Enter the Four "Operational Codes" provided by StockDisciplines.com via email. The codes are entered in Column L rows 3, 5, 6, and 7 (the cells are labeled "Enter Code 1," "Enter Code 2," and so on). The codes will not function correctly until they are "turned on" in step 3. These codes access and control various funcions and computational modules within the program. The program will not operate without them.
3. Enable ATR Stops to import information from StockDisciplines.com. To do this, click on the "Options" tab to the right of " Security Warning Data connections have been disabled." and enable all items displayed (the "Options" tab is shown at the top of the above image). This "warning" may not appear if you clicked on "Enable automatic refresh" when the gray box appeared earlier that said "This workbook contains queries to external data that refresh automatically."
4. Press the f-9 key. Instead of numbers in columns G and I, you will see "#VALUE!" until you press the f-9 key. Wait until the "#VALUE!" alerts disappear or convert to numbers. The program will not function correctly unless you enter the current date and unless you enable the data connection. The program will want to connect to StockDisciplines.com regularly whenever it is open to make sure it has updated information.
The four "Operational Codes" are interdependent, so you could think of them as a single complex 60-digit code that controls various operations. Modifying a single digit in any of them can cause subtle changes for certain combinations of settings or shut the program down entirely. In other words, do not tamper with the codes we provide, because altering them in any way could make the program unreliable. That is, corruptions can occur in output that are not obvious (stop losses generated could be quite wrong relative to the volatility of the security being tracked). In the first image above, the bogus code "999-999-999-999-999" is entered in each code location simply for illustration purposes. When a person enters his codes, he must not enter the dashes. They are inserted by the program after the number has been entered. The dashes appear after entry to make it easier for a person to compare the code entered with the original when checking for accuracy. The numbers are given to the user with the dashes so it will be easier for the user to keep his place when entering them. However, the dashes must not be included by the user when entering the codes because they are not really part of the codes.
So you can get a “feel” for how various settings affect the stop loss, we have provided a "Lab" where you can experiment to find the settings that best suit you and your investment strategy. We suggest that you spend a little time conducting experiments here before you use ATR Stops to track real positions. Your tolerance for risk and your preferred investment time-horizon will have a big impact on the settings you use. For example, if your goal is to capture most of a 1-month move, your stops will be much closer to the current stock price than if your goal is to capture most of a 6-month move. The potentially much greater returns of shorter-term investing come at the cost of greater trading activity. Longer-term investing will generally require less trading activity and allow more downside volatility (greater risk). The trade-off in using this more “relaxed” approach is the high liklihood of a significantly smaller return. We searched for stock charts to use in the "Lab" that have sufficient twists, turns, and trends to enable you to evaluate different combinations of settings. The Lab begins on row 1076 of the spreadsheet. You can get there quickly by clicking on "LAB" in the yellow box at the top. We have provided five charts in the lab and arranged them vertically. You can see more than 5 years of charted price action by scrolling down.
In the "LAb," the stop loss follows the stock as it rises and falls. The stop is traced in red. From any theoretical “buy” point, you trace the progress of the red line relative to the price action of the stock. The stop will be triggered whenever the stock’s low price falls below the highest price reached by the red line since the theoretical buy point. To avoid having a position sold because of an intra-day spike, some investors use “mental stops.” They wait to see if the closing price is below the stop line because they believe that where a stock closes is more important than what it does during the day. In the lab you can study how your settings influence end-of-day stops by simply noting whether the stock’s closing price on the day of a decline is below the highest point reached by the red line. The charts in the lab were pre-selected by StockDisciplines.com and cannot be changed.
You must have Excel 2007 (or later) installed on your computer, and be able to open an Excel spreadsheet with macros in order to use Stops. To test your system, click on the following link. It will enable you to download a file with a macro (Stops has a few macros). If you can enter a number and cause the macro to work and the file to recalculate, then you should have no trouble using Stops on your system (unless you have a Linux or Apple system, and those may or may not work depending on configuration). If Do not take the test or order ATR Stops if you have Excel 2003 on your you have Excel 2003 (or any earlier version of Excel) on your computer, contact us. Do not take the test and do not order ATR Stops without contacting us first to avoid permanent problems with your excel installation. There are no such problems with later versions of Excel. f you have Excel 2007 or later, take the following test Test for Excel 2007 & Later If your system failed the test, you may get some help by going to Macro Help .
The use of ATR Stops for a full year would cost less than the price of a subscription to the average stock market newsletter. The average market letter consists of 8 to 12 pages of opinion. On January 22, 2001, Money reported on a survey it made of 61 market letters. The average annual subscription price for these newsletters was $220.46. We have not checked lately, but we are sure prices have gone up considerably since then. A simple adjustment for inflation through June of 2017 would increase the price to $308.41. Another consideration is that an adult could buy two regular 1-day tickets to Disneyland for $220.00. The price of using ATR Stops for 6 months is only $149. The money spent for two days at Disneyland is evaporated on use. The money spent on ATR Stops is spent to enhance assets. Better stop loss placements can easily translate into far more in profits and savings than the price of using ATR Stops. Even one well-placed stop loss might save many times the cost for a year of use. The 6-month license renews automatically until canceled, so you don't have to keep re-ordering every six months.
Ordering and The License Agreement
Read the License Agreement for details before ordering. To read the License Agreement, click on
Agreement. An order cannot be transmitted to us unless you acknowledge that you have read the License Agreement.
Previously, we did not offer a trial period because we could not turn the tool off remotely once we sent it to a user. We believe we have solved that problem. We can now program the tool to automatically shut down if new codes are not entered after a trial period. See the License Agreement (above link) for details about the trial period, cancellations, and refunds.
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